Jan 18th, 20112010 Year End Summary - Market Update
Who We Are: This continues the expression of Who We Are that we began a couple of weeks ago. These are part of our statement:
Our vision is externally focused on the future
Our motivation is focused on performance
Our goal is to create a better business experience.
Wine Country Group Summary for 2010
The Wine Country Group enjoyed a solid 2010. We closed 751 sides compared to 764 in 2009, but our average sales price was up and we closed $330 million in dollar volume compared to $317 million in 2009. Our average sales price advanced 12% from $412,497 to $460,739. Since our sales are generally spread across Wine Country, this is a fairly solid indicator of market price trends in our specific area.
Our Sonoma office enjoyed an increase in sales from 296 units in 2009 to 365 units in 2010 – a increase of 23%. It is the highest level of sales for this office since we closed 413 in 2005. Our Glen Ellen and St. Helena offices also enjoyed a 36% +/- increase in the number of units sold.
Our net income for 2010 continued to move in a positive direction and was 107% ahead of the income for 2009.
And more to come in 2011
This is the theme for our 2011 Wine Country Group Kickoff to take place on Friday, February 4, at 8:30 AM at the Oakmont Golf Club. Our guest speaker will be Robert Eyler, PhD, Associate Professor and Department Chair of the Department of Economics at Sonoma State University. He is also Director of the Center for Regional Economics. You can find more on Dr. Eyler at http://www.sonoma.edu/pubs/experts/eyler.shtml
Wine Country Group Summary for December, 2010
We closed 53 transactions this December compared to 75 a year ago, but similarly to the year end results, our average sales price was higher ($585,769 v. $408,491) and our dollar volume for the month of $30 million was very close to last December’s $31 million. We maintained a healthy pace with 32 new listings in December compared to 36 a year ago and 57 newly opened escrows compared to 43 last year. In a positive trend, we had only 8 canceled transactions in December compared to 21 in December a year ago.
We remain solidly number one in market share in our Sonoma Valley (31.6%), Healdsburg (23.8%) and Cloverdale (16.1 %) markets. Our Napa and St. Helena offices in the Napa Valley hold 4th position in market share compared to our competitors. Our Healdsburg office had a great month of December closing $13.2 million dollars in sales representing 42.4% of all dollar volume closed in Healdsburg for the month. The Sonoma Valley offices registered an increase in sales for the year to 304 units compared to 258 a year ago (+6%) and in dollar volume $138 million compared to $126 million while most of our competition was static or declined in these areas.
The Wine Country Group currently has 102 pending sales with a value of $47 million dollars and 150 active listings with a value of $112 million dollars which is fairly consistent with the numbers a year ago.
December, 2010 – Wine Country Market Analysis
Napa County Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale at the end of December in Napa County (613) was 14.4% higher than the inventory (536) at this time last year, but it did decline 11.5% from the inventory in November, 2010 (693). The inventory peaked for the year in August and the December figure will likely be the low for the season – listings should pick up in January. New sales (116) were 16% ahead of the pace a year ago (100) and up 4.5% from the month of November (111 though originally reported as 131 – there were 20 cancellations of November sales). 30% of the current listings in Napa County are distressed properties (bank-owned, short sale or foreclosure). 65% of the new sales and 56% of the closed sales for the month were distressed. The city of Napa figures mirrored the county with regard to the impact of distressed properties on the market. American Canyon remains short on inventory as there are just 2.7 months supply based on new sales and the impact of distressed properties is the highest in the county: 60% of inventory, 82% of new sales and 75% of closings.
St. Helena/Up Valley Trends: The St. Helena/Up Valley market (Angwin, Calistoga, Deer Park, Rutherford, St. Helena and Yountville), inventory dropped sharply (-14%) again in December to 157 units compared to 183 last month, It was equal to the 157 level of inventory December of 2009. There were 14 new sales for the month and the supply of inventory based on new sales dropped from 30.7 month supply in October to 11.1 months supply this month. Just 12% of the inventory consisted of distressed properties, but 57% (8) of the new sales for the month were distressed properties – so it’s definitely the hot part of the market.
Sonoma County Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale (1,521) in Sonoma County at the end of December was 39% higher than a year ago (1,093) but it dropped 6% from the supply last month (1625) making three months of steady seasonal decline in inventory. New sales (420) in December were 7% ahead of the pace in December, 2009 (393) and they were 7% ahead of the pace of last month (391). The median price of homes closed in December in Sonoma County was $320,000 which was 6% lower the median price of homes sold a year ago ($341,000). Distressed properties make up 42% of the available inventory, 68% of new sales and 55% of closings for the month.
Sonoma Valley Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale (161) in the Sonoma Valley (Sonoma, Glen Ellen and Kenwood) at the end of December was equal to that for December, 2009 (162). It was 18% lower than that of last month (197) representing the seasonal downturn in listings. There were 40 new sales for the month which is 21% higher than that of a year ago (33) and 33% higher than that of last month (30). Cancelled transactions remain a relatively high percentage of sales. The median price of the homes closed (30) in the Valley in December rose sharply to $401,000 compared to $331,000 last month and $460,000 a year ago. The median price for the Sonoma Valley market appears to be jumping widely from month to month right now. Distressed sales are certainly impacting the overall median prices in the Sonoma Valley market as distressed properties represent 29% of the inventory, 65% of the new sales and 47% of the closings.
Healdsburg Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale (68) in Healdsburg at the end of December was 8% higher than the inventory (63) in December, 2009 and It was 26% lower than that of a month ago (92) reflecting seasonal trends. New sales (11) were pretty consistent with the pace over the past six months. Only 12% of the inventory consists of “distressed properties”, but 45% of the new sales were distressed properties and 23% of the closings were distressed properties.
Cloverdale Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale in Cloverdale (46) at the end of December, 2010 was 21% higher than that of a year ago (38) and remained equal to that of month ago. It is the only one of our Wine Country markets where inventory did not decline significantly from November. Sales for the month of December (13) were ahead of the pace a year ago (8) but were equal to the 13 new sales reported in November, 2010. There is a 3.5 months supply of available inventory in Cloverdale based on the current pace of new sales. The Cloverdale market is more dramatically impacted by distressed properties than the county in general. 50% of the inventory are distressed properties and 77% of the new sales and 69% of the closings for the month are distressed properties.
Windsor Trends: The inventory of homes for sale in Windsor (71) at the end of December was 73% higher than the inventory (41) in December, 2009 and was down 20% from the 89 units available last month. There were 33 new sales of homes and condominiums in Windsor in December which compares to 19 sales in December of 2009. There is just a 2.2 months supply of inventory based on the new sales pace, so Windsor is a hot market right now. 56% of the available inventory are distressed properties while 88% of the new sales and 72% of the closings for the month are distressed properties. It appears that home buyer’s are recognizing value in the distressed sales in Windsor.
Solano County: Available inventory of homes and condominiums for sale in Solano County remained high at 1,398 units in December, 2010. This is 79% higher than the inventory in December, 2009 (781). New sales for the month (550) were up 18% year over year (466) and were up 12% from the pace last month (493). There is 2.5 months supply of available inventory based on the current sales pace. The median price of closed homes is steady in the $200,000 range. Distressed properties made up 70% of the inventory, 82% of the new sales and 74% of the closed sales for the month.
Closings:
The following agents enjoyed closings between 12/6/10 and 1/14/11: Robyn Makurak (Sonoma); Carol Lexa (Healdsburg); Susan Irvine (Glen Ellen); Susan Montgomery (Healdsburg); Herb Heil (Sonoma); Erika Linn (Healdsburg); Tammi Owens (Sonoma); Ally May (Sonoma); Debbie Hendershot (Healdsburg); Diane Harris and Deke Dekay (Healdsburg); Pam Giusto (Sonoma) and Cherie Chooljian (Sonoma).
The following agents enjoyed two closings during this period: Carol Figone (Healdsburg); Erin George (Sonoma); Jana Jones (Healdsburg); Nicki Rector (Healdsburg); Faeli Vyn (Napa); Lark Raymond (Napa); Charlie Laughlin (Napa); Beth Bruno (Healdsburg); Ann Amtower (Healdsburg); Penelope La Montagne (Healdsburg) and Ellen Politz (Napa).
Linda Alioto (St. Helena); Lisa Albertson (Sonoma/Healdsburg) and Mike Caselli (Sonoma) enjoyed three closings over this period.
Cheri Stanely (Napa); Sheila Deignan (Sonoma); Jane and Ron Pavelka (Cloverdale) and David Barker (Napa) enjoyed four closings each.
Doug Del Fava and Susan Parker had five closings during this period.
And, Daniel Casabonne of our Sonoma office closed seven transactions during this period.
Congratulations to all!